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☀️ Sunday Early Results — Week 4

Our free picks went 86% (6 of 7) in the Sunday Early window.

✅ Free picks

  • ✅ Jacoby Brissett (ARI) 1+ passing TDs (-355) — finished with 2 passing TDs
  • ✅ Tucker Kraft (GB) 25+ receiving yards (-257) — finished with 42 receiving yards
  • ✅ Trevor Lawrence (JAX) 1+ passing TDs (-669) — finished with 1 passing TD
  • ❌ Trey McBride (ARI) 50+ receiving yards (-203) — finished with 31 receiving yards
  • ✅ Zay Flowers (BAL) 50+ receiving yards (-245) — finished with 118 receiving yards
  • ✅ Puka Nacua (LA) 50+ receiving yards (-270) — finished with 125 receiving yards
  • ✅ Mack Hollins (NE) 25+ receiving yards (-270) — finished with 53 receiving yards

🔒 Members picks, revealed

19 of 30 for the members-only picks. EV plays and TDs: 2 of 2, +1.25 units (judged in units, not hit rate).

  • ✅ Derrick Henry (BAL) to score a TD (anytime) (-203) — scored · +0.46u
  • ✅ James Cook III (BUF) to score a TD (anytime) (-117) — scored · +0.79u
  • ✅ Bhayshul Tuten (JAX) OVER 57.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 73 rushing yards
  • ✅ Braelon Allen (NYJ) OVER 57.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 59 rushing yards
  • ✅ Bucky Irving (TB) OVER 55.5 rushing yards (-128) — finished with 61 rushing yards
  • ❌ Carnell Tate (TEN) 🔻 UNDER 44.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 145 receiving yards
  • ✅ Dalton Schultz (HOU) 🔻 UNDER 4.5 catches (-141) — finished with 2 catches
  • ❌ Darnell Mooney (NYG) OVER 1.5 catches (-154) — finished with 0 catches
  • ❌ David Montgomery (HOU) OVER 44.5 rushing yards (-130) — finished with 24 rushing yards
  • ❌ Derrick Henry (BAL) OVER 99.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 73 rushing yards
  • ❌ Drake Maye (NE) 🔻 UNDER 229.5 passing yards (-110) — finished with 269 passing yards
  • ✅ Jacoby Brissett (ARI) 🔻 UNDER 229.5 passing yards (-110) — finished with 166 passing yards
  • ✅ Jakobi Meyers (JAX) 🔻 UNDER 41.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 33 receiving yards
  • ❌ James Cook III (BUF) OVER 85.5 rushing yards (-128) — finished with 75 rushing yards
  • ✅ Kaleb Johnson (GB) OVER 32.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 42 rushing yards
  • ✅ Kalif Raymond (CHI) 🔻 UNDER 32.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 6 receiving yards
  • ✅ Kyle Monangai (CHI) OVER 39.5 rushing yards (-132) — finished with 146 rushing yards
  • ✅ Kyren Williams (LA) OVER 57.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 80 rushing yards
  • ✅ Malachi Fields (NYG) OVER 1.5 catches (-200) — finished with 2 catches
  • ❌ Matthew Stafford (LA) 🔻 UNDER 250.5 passing yards (-127) — finished with 317 passing yards
  • ❌ Michael Wilson (ARI) 🔻 UNDER 58.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 95 receiving yards
  • ✅ Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) OVER 32.5 rushing yards (-130) — finished with 47 rushing yards
  • ❌ Saquon Barkley (PHI) OVER 68.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 8 rushing yards
  • ✅ Tank Bigsby (PHI) OVER 8.5 rushing yards (-120) — finished with 55 rushing yards
  • ✅ Ted Hurst III (TB) OVER 1.5 catches (-200) — finished with 2 catches
  • ❌ Tee Higgins (CIN) 🔻 UNDER 64.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 157 receiving yards
  • ❌ Tony Pollard (TEN) OVER 50.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 48 rushing yards · 😬 3 short
  • ✅ TreVeyon Henderson (NE) OVER 41.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 42 rushing yards
  • ✅ Tyler Allgeier (ARI) OVER 21.5 rushing yards (-127) — finished with 42 rushing yards
  • ✅ Wan'Dale Robinson (TEN) 🔻 UNDER 37.5 receiving yards (-127) — finished with 19 receiving yards

🎲 All-Access picks, revealed

3 of 4 for the All-Access-only picks.

  • ✅ Dalton Kincaid (BUF) 🔻 UNDER 70 receiving yards (-257) — finished with 7 receiving yards · +0.36u
  • ✅ Mark Andrews (BAL) 🔻 UNDER 40 receiving yards (-117) — finished with 27 receiving yards · +0.79u
  • ❌ ARI -0.5 — final ARI 24, NYG 36
  • ✅ LA -2.5 — final LA 24, PHI 20

😬 So close

1 pick lost by a hair:

  • Tony Pollard (TEN) OVER 50.5 rushing yards · Members — needed 51, got 48: 3 rushing yards short

Graded the morning after at Kalshi's official settlement or the box score (props at the book's line) and the final score (game picks), at the price we posted. The full weekly recap with streaks and season records posts Tuesday. Full record