Quick Hits track record
Every call is graded against the official box score the next morning, wins and losses. Regular season and postseason are kept apart, and so are live calls and backtests.
- Live: posted before first pitch and graded the next morning against the official box score.
- Backtest: simulated results, today's model calibration replayed on past games using only pre-game data.
- Long shot: a single bet (never a parlay) at plus money. A $10 bet at +300 pays $30 profit if it hits.
- Units: profit if you bet 1 unit (your normal bet size) on every call at the posted price.
- Records read "X of N": calls won out of calls graded.
Free picks = The Steady Ones. Members card = everything a member gets: the free picks plus the members picks and team calls. Long shots are judged in units, not hit rate. Updated 2026-10-04 10:40.
🏆 Postseason
Live: posted before first pitch
Sep 30, 2026 to Oct 3, 2026, 3 slates
- Free picks (The Steady Ones): 3 of 7 (43%)
- Members card (free + members picks): 4 of 9 (44%)
- All-Access long shots: -11.24 units on 16 calls (1 cashed)
Backtest: simulated with today's model calibration
Sep 29, 2026 to Sep 29, 2026, 1 slate
- Free picks (The Steady Ones): 4 of 4 (100%)
- Members card (free + members picks): 6 of 6 (100%)
⚾ Regular season
Backtest: simulated with today's model calibration
Mar 29, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, 176 slates
- Free picks (The Steady Ones): 499 of 692 (72.1%)
- Members card (free + members picks): 876 of 1382 (63.4%)
Cleanest stretch: from Jun 22, 2026, when our daily cards were written on the day, the members card went 255 of 411 (62.0%).
By market
| Market | Record |
|---|---|
| H+R+RBI 1+ | 408 of 563 (72.5%) |
| H+R+RBI 2+ | 105 of 204 (51.5%) |
| Hits 1+ | 91 of 129 (70.5%) |
| R+RBI 1+ | 109 of 212 (51.4%) |
| Runs 1+ | 46 of 72 (64%) |
🎲 Every All-Access long shot
Long shot: a single bet (never a parlay) at plus money. A $10 bet at +300 pays $30 profit if it hits. Live from Oct 1, 2026.
| Date | Player | Bet | Price | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | Ben Rice | Hits 2+ | +317 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 3 | Matt Olson | R+RBI 1+ | +105 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 3 | Drake Baldwin | H+R+RBI 2+ | +117 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 3 | Ben Rice | H+R+RBI 2+ | +108 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 3 | Mookie Betts | Hits 3+ | +1150 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 3 | Mookie Betts | Hits 2+ | +233 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 3 | Drake Baldwin | TB 3+ | +335 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 3 | Mookie Betts | TB 3+ | +245 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 3 | Andy Pages | TB 3+ | +355 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 3 | Cody Bellinger | H+R+RBI 2+ | +133 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 3 | Cody Bellinger | H+R+RBI 3+ | +300 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 3 | Ben Rice | H+R+RBI 3+ | +212 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 1 | Kyle Schwarber | Hits 2+ | +376 | ✅ | +3.76 |
| Oct 1 | Drake Baldwin | Hits 3+ | +1329 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 1 | Drake Baldwin | Hits 2+ | +285 | ❌ | -1.00 |
| Oct 1 | Drake Baldwin | TB 3+ | +317 | ❌ | -1.00 |
💣 Every MLB home run call
Home run calls are long shots by nature: our backfill hit about 1 in 4 at roughly +300 to +400. ⭐ = best spots (night games). Every call is graded at the price we posted.
The first home run calls post with the next slate; every call is listed here once graded.
Before launch (Sep 29 to 30) we tracked 30 long-shot picks that were not yet delivered to members: 10 cashed, +3.52 units. They are not part of the live record.
🧪 Pitcher Corner trial (tracked in public, not sold)
6 of 7 (86%) at the market line
| Market | Record |
|---|---|
| H | 3 of 3 (100%) |
| K | 1 of 2 (50%) |
| Walks | 2 of 2 (100%) |