Verified track record
Every pick we publish on our daily card is graded the next morning against the official box score — wins and losses both go on the board. From 2026-03-26 through 2026-06-07, that published card has gone 69.3% (6,824 of 9,840 graded plays).
What this counts: every pick on our published “called” card across the full season — not a hand-picked highlight reel. The segments below are from the same graded set; markets shown have at least 40 graded plays.
By pick type
| Segment | Win% | Record |
|---|---|---|
| Batters | 69.2% | 5427/7844 |
| Pitchers | 70.0% | 1397/1996 |
By confidence band
Higher-conviction plays cash at a higher rate (graded plays, same set). Our top band is where members get the most volume.
| Segment | Win% | Record |
|---|---|---|
| Top conviction | 78.5% | 1527/1945 |
| Strong lean | 70.9% | 3539/4993 |
| Neutral | 65.7% | 907/1381 |
| Caution | 56.0% | 710/1268 |
| Fade | 44.2% | 53/120 |
By market
| Segment | Win% | Record |
|---|---|---|
| H+R+RBI 1+ | 72.1% | 4383/6083 |
| R+RBI 1+ | 61.3% | 430/701 |
| H+R+RBI 2+ | 56.0% | 346/618 |
| K OVER 3.5 | 80.7% | 359/445 |
| K OVER 4.5 | 70.0% | 257/367 |
| OUTS OVER 17.5 | 57.3% | 185/323 |
| H OVER 4.5 | 67.2% | 137/204 |
| Runs 1+ | 61.7% | 103/167 |
| Hits 1+ | 71.3% | 112/157 |
| K UNDER 4.5 | 66.4% | 101/152 |
| WALKS UNDER 2.5 | 81.4% | 83/102 |
| K OVER 4.0 | 68.8% | 53/77 |
| TB 2+ | 47.5% | 29/61 |
| K OVER 5.0 | 63.3% | 38/60 |
| WALKS UNDER 1.5 | 57.4% | 31/54 |
| K OVER 3.0 | 65.9% | 27/41 |