🏈 NFL Quick Hits Recap — Week 4
Our free picks went 87% (13 of 15) this week.
| This week | Season | |
|---|---|---|
| ✅ Free picks | 13 of 15 | 13 of 15 |
| 🔒 Members props (incl. free) | 43 of 71 | 43 of 71 |
| 🏈 Anytime TDs | 7 of 7 | 7 of 7 |
| 🎲 Premium unders | 6 of 7 | 6 of 7 |
| 🎲 High-confidence spread picks | 4 of 5 | 4 of 5 |
| 🎲 Strong moneylines / spreads | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
💰 EV plays: 1 of 5, -0.27 units at the posted prices. These are value plays: judged in units, not hit rate.
🔥 Hits
- George Kittle UNDER 79.5 receiving yards (-223) — finished with 70 receiving yards 🎲
- Darren Waller UNDER 59.5 receiving yards (-300) — finished with 36 receiving yards 🎲
- Travis Kelce UNDER 69.5 receiving yards (-300) — finished with 15 receiving yards 🎲
- Oronde Gadsden UNDER 39.5 receiving yards (-223) — finished with 36 receiving yards 🎲
- Dalton Kincaid UNDER 69.5 receiving yards (-257) — finished with 7 receiving yards 🎲
- Mark Andrews UNDER 39.5 receiving yards (-117) — finished with 27 receiving yards 🎲
- Jacoby Brissett 1+ passing TDs (-355) — finished with 2 passing TDs
- Kyle Pitts Sr. 25+ receiving yards (-150) — finished with 47 receiving yards
- Brock Purdy 1+ passing TDs (-567) — finished with 2 passing TDs
- Bryce Young 1+ passing TDs (-525) — finished with 2 passing TDs
- Tucker Kraft 25+ receiving yards (-257) — finished with 42 receiving yards
- Trevor Lawrence 1+ passing TDs (-669) — finished with 1 passing TD
- Kirk Cousins 1+ passing TDs (-400) — finished with 2 passing TDs
- Puka Nacua 50+ receiving yards (-270) — finished with 125 receiving yards
- Mack Hollins 25+ receiving yards (-270) — finished with 53 receiving yards
- Aaron Rodgers 17+ completions (-317) — finished with 22 completions
- Quinshon Judkins 2+ catches (-156) — finished with 6 catches
- Darnell Washington 25+ receiving yards (+194) — finished with 27 receiving yards
- Zay Flowers 50+ receiving yards (-245) — finished with 118 receiving yards
- Tyler Allgeier OVER 21.5 rushing yards (-127) — finished with 42 rushing yards 🔒
- Malachi Fields OVER 1.5 catches (-200) — finished with 2 catches 🔒
- Jacoby Brissett UNDER 229.5 passing yards (-110) — finished with 166 passing yards 🔒
- Bijan Robinson to score a TD (anytime) (-178) 🔒
- Brian Robinson OVER 30.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 62 rushing yards 🔒
- Jahan Dotson OVER 1.5 catches (-156) — finished with 2 catches 🔒
- Juwan Johnson OVER 45.5 receiving yards (-132) — finished with 59 receiving yards 🔒
- Dalton Schultz UNDER 4.5 catches (-141) — finished with 2 catches 🔒
- Christian McCaffrey to score a TD (anytime) (-156) 🔒
- Brock Purdy UNDER 235.5 passing yards (-127) — finished with 218 passing yards 🔒
- Deebo Samuel Sr. UNDER 32.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 26 receiving yards 🔒
- Jahmyr Gibbs to score a TD (anytime) (-285) 🔒
- Chuba Hubbard OVER 66.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 122 rushing yards 🔒
- Ted Hurst III OVER 1.5 catches (-200) — finished with 2 catches 🔒
- Bucky Irving OVER 55.5 rushing yards (-128) — finished with 61 rushing yards 🔒
- Kaleb Johnson OVER 32.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 42 rushing yards 🔒
- Jonathan Taylor to score a TD (anytime) (-213) 🔒
- Bhayshul Tuten OVER 57.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 73 rushing yards 🔒
- Jakobi Meyers UNDER 41.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 33 receiving yards 🔒
- Kenneth Walker III to score a TD (anytime) (-138) 🔒
- Mike Washington Jr. OVER 16.5 rushing yards (-133) — finished with 18 rushing yards 🔒
- Kenneth Walker III OVER 86.5 rushing yards (-128) — finished with 177 rushing yards 🔒
- Keaton Mitchell OVER 18.5 rushing yards (-130) — finished with 39 rushing yards 🔒
- Emanuel Wilson OVER 44.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 81 rushing yards 🔒
- Justin Herbert UNDER 200.5 passing yards (-110) — finished with 189 passing yards 🔒
- Kyren Williams OVER 57.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 80 rushing yards 🔒
- Tank Bigsby OVER 8.5 rushing yards (-120) — finished with 55 rushing yards 🔒
- Aaron Jones Sr. OVER 66.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 94 rushing yards 🔒
- James Cook III to score a TD (anytime) (-117) 🔒
- Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 32.5 rushing yards (-130) — finished with 47 rushing yards 🔒
- TreVeyon Henderson OVER 41.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 42 rushing yards 🔒
- Braelon Allen OVER 57.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 59 rushing yards 🔒
- Kyle Monangai OVER 39.5 rushing yards (-132) — finished with 146 rushing yards 🔒
- Kalif Raymond UNDER 32.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 6 receiving yards 🔒
- Jerry Jeudy 3+ catches (+400) — finished with 3 catches 🔒
- Derrick Henry to score a TD (anytime) (-203) 🔒
- Wan'Dale Robinson UNDER 37.5 receiving yards (-127) — finished with 19 receiving yards 🔒
🚀 Above and beyond
- Jacoby Brissett: we said 1+, he cleared the 2+ stretch with 2 passing TDs
- Tucker Kraft: we said 25+, finished with 42 receiving yards, over Sleeper's 41.5 too
- Zay Flowers: we said 50+, he cleared the 60+ stretch with 118 receiving yards
- Puka Nacua: we said 50+, he cleared the 60+ stretch with 125 receiving yards
- Mack Hollins: we said 25+, he cleared the 40+ stretch with 53 receiving yards
- Tyler Allgeier: we said 21.5+, he cleared the 40+ stretch with 42 rushing yards
- Kyren Williams: we said 57.5+, finished with 80 rushing yards, over Sleeper's 58.5 too
- Kyle Monangai: we said 39.5+, he cleared the 60+ stretch with 146 rushing yards
- Tank Bigsby: we said 8.5+, he cleared the 15+ stretch with 55 rushing yards
- Brock Purdy: we said 1+, he cleared the 2+ stretch with 2 passing TDs
- Kirk Cousins: we said 1+, he cleared the 2+ stretch with 2 passing TDs
- Keaton Mitchell: we said 18.5+, he cleared the 30+ stretch with 39 rushing yards
- Kenneth Walker III: we said 86.5+, he doubled it with 177 rushing yards
- Aaron Jones Sr.: we said 66.5+, he cleared the 90+ stretch with 94 rushing yards
- Emanuel Wilson: we said 44.5+, he cleared the 70+ stretch with 81 rushing yards
- Bryce Young: we said 1+, he cleared the 2+ stretch with 2 passing TDs
- Chuba Hubbard: we said 66.5+, he cleared the 100+ stretch with 122 rushing yards
- Kyle Pitts Sr.: we said 25+, finished with 47 receiving yards, over Sleeper's 30.5 too
- Brian Robinson: we said 30.5+, he cleared the 40+ stretch with 62 rushing yards
- Juwan Johnson: we said 45.5+, he cleared the 50+ stretch with 59 receiving yards
😬 So close
6 picks lost by a hair:
- Raheim Sanders (CLE) 10+ rushing yards · Free — needed 10, got 9: 1 rushing yard short
- PIT moneyline (-148) · All-Access — final PIT 24, CLE 27: lost by 3
- Tony Pollard (TEN) OVER 50.5 rushing yards · Members — needed 51, got 48: 3 rushing yards short
- Omarion Hampton (LAC) OVER 46.5 rushing yards · Members — needed 47, got 45: 2 rushing yards short
- Ashton Jeanty (LV) OVER 59.5 rushing yards · Members — needed 60, got 58: 2 rushing yards short
- Tory Horton (SEA) UNDER 0.5 catches · Members — needed 0 or fewer, got 1: 1 catch over
🏟️ Game picks (All-Access)
- ❌ PIT moneyline (-148) — final PIT 24, CLE 27 · 😬 lost by 3
- ✅ IND -3.5 — final IND 30, WAS 13
- ❌ ARI -0.5 — final ARI 24, NYG 36
- ✅ LA -2.5 — final LA 24, PHI 20
- ✅ MIA +11.5 — final MIA 10, MIN 15
- ✅ ATL +2.5 — final ATL 45, NO 24
Every pick, wins and losses, at the price we posted. Full record: rrsalgo.com/nfl/record/