NFL Picks Recap, Week 6 2026

Our free picks went 61% (14 of 23) this week.

	This week	Season
✅ Free picks	14 of 23	45 of 65
🔒 Members props (incl. free)	35 of 69	123 of 215
🏈 Anytime TDs	6 of 9	16 of 21
🎲 Premium unders	3 of 4	11 of 15
🎲 High-confidence spread picks	4 of 6	9 of 14
🎲 Strong moneylines / spreads	0 of 0	0 of 1

💰 EV plays: 6 of 9, +2.06 units at the posted prices. These are value plays: judged in units, not hit rate.

🔥 Hits

Brock Bowers UNDER 80.5 receiving yards (-125) — finished with 70 receiving yards 🎲
D'Andre Swift to score a TD (anytime) (-144) 🎲
Travis Kelce UNDER 54.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 53 receiving yards 🎲
Garrett Wilson UNDER 6.5 catches (-164) — finished with 4 catches 🎲
Colby Parkinson 15+ receiving yards (+127) — finished with 31 receiving yards
Bryce Young 1+ passing TDs (-335) — finished with 2 passing TDs
Makai Lemon 2+ catches (-194) — finished with 3 catches
Kyle Pitts Sr. 25+ receiving yards (-150) — finished with 60 receiving yards
Rome Odunze 25+ receiving yards (-257) — finished with 39 receiving yards
Woody Marks 30+ rushing yards (-270) — finished with 56 rushing yards
Justin Herbert 150+ passing yards (-317) — finished with 204 passing yards
Hunter Henry 2+ catches (-317) — finished with 4 catches
Hunter Henry 15+ receiving yards (-233) — finished with 48 receiving yards
Jaylen Warren 40+ rushing yards (-317) — finished with 50 rushing yards
Bucky Irving 40+ rushing yards (-400) — finished with 46 rushing yards
J.K. Dobbins 30+ rushing yards (-335) — finished with 41 rushing yards
Terry McLaurin 25+ receiving yards (-376) — finished with 27 receiving yards
Christian McCaffrey 50+ rushing yards (-194) — finished with 64 rushing yards
Blake Corum OVER 39.5 rushing yards (-122) — finished with 42 rushing yards 🔒
Davante Adams UNDER 57.5 receiving yards (-125) — finished with 39 receiving yards 🔒
Jerry Jeudy OVER 1.5 catches (-102) — finished with 4 catches 🔒
James Cook III to score a TD (anytime) (-133) 🔒
James Cook III OVER 93.5 rushing yards (-128) — finished with 95 rushing yards 🔒
Makai Lemon OVER 2.5 catches (+115) — finished with 3 catches 🔒
Caleb Williams UNDER 19.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 3 rushing yards 🔒
Javonte Williams to score a TD (anytime) (-170) 🔒
Pierre Strong Jr. OVER 14.5 rushing yards (-117) — finished with 28 rushing yards 🔒
Kayshon Boutte OVER 1.5 catches (-213) — finished with 2 catches 🔒
Xavier Hutchinson OVER 1.5 catches (-141) — finished with 2 catches 🔒
Woody Marks OVER 39.5 rushing yards (-133) — finished with 56 rushing yards 🔒
Kenneth Walker III to score a TD (anytime) (-156) 🔒
Kenneth Walker III OVER 94.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 128 rushing yards 🔒
Justin Herbert OVER 196.5 passing yards (-110) — finished with 204 passing yards 🔒
Patrick Mahomes UNDER 1.5 passing TDs (-118) — finished with 0 passing TDs 🔒
Hunter Henry OVER 25.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 48 receiving yards 🔒
J.K. Dobbins OVER 39.5 rushing yards (-170) — finished with 41 rushing yards 🔒
Jonathan Taylor to score a TD (anytime) (-223) 🔒
Jonathan Taylor OVER 89.5 rushing yards (-127) — finished with 94 rushing yards 🔒
Jonathan Taylor OVER 110.5 rushing + receiving yards (-110) — finished with 151 rushing + receiving yards 🔒
Tony Pollard OVER 49.5 rushing yards (-138) — finished with 76 rushing yards 🔒
Christian McCaffrey to score a TD (anytime) (-233) 🔒
Christian McCaffrey OVER 59.5 rushing yards (-108) — finished with 64 rushing yards 🔒
Christian McCaffrey OVER 108.5 rushing + receiving yards (-110) — finished with 117 rushing + receiving yards 🔒
Brock Purdy UNDER 2.5 passing TDs (-200) — finished with 1 passing TD 🔒

🚀 Above and beyond

Woody Marks: we said 39.5+, he cleared the 47+ stretch with 56 rushing yards
Bryce Young: we said 1+, he cleared the 2+ stretch with 2 passing TDs
Hunter Henry: we said 2+, he cleared the 3+ stretch with 4 catches
Kyle Pitts Sr.: we said 25+, finished with 60 receiving yards, over Sleeper's 30.5 too
Tony Pollard: we said 49.5+, he cleared the 58+ stretch with 76 rushing yards
Jerry Jeudy: we said 1.5+, he cleared the 3+ stretch with 4 catches
Hunter Henry: we said 25.5+, he cleared the 35+ stretch with 48 receiving yards
Hunter Henry: we said 15+, he doubled it with 48 receiving yards
Colby Parkinson: we said 15+, he doubled it with 31 receiving yards
Kenneth Walker III: we said 94.5+, he cleared the 100+ stretch with 128 rushing yards
Justin Herbert: we said 196.5+, he cleared the 200+ stretch with 204 passing yards
Pierre Strong Jr.: we said 14.5+, he cleared the 17+ stretch with 28 rushing yards
Christian McCaffrey: we said 59.5+, he cleared the 63+ stretch with 64 rushing yards

🔁 Repeat calls

❌ Bijan Robinson: on our list 3 games running, 2 of 5 calls hit
✅ Blake Corum: on our list 2 games running, 1 of 2 calls hit
❌ Brian Robinson: on our list 3 games running, 1 of 3 calls hit
✅ Brock Bowers: on our list 3 games running, 1 of 3 calls hit
✅ Bryce Young: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 2 calls hit
➖ Bucky Irving: on our list 3 games running, 3 of 4 calls hit
❌ Cam Skattebo: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 3 calls hit
❌ Dalton Schultz: on our list 3 games running, 2 of 3 calls hit
❌ Dameon Pierce: on our list 2 games running, 0 of 3 calls hit
✅ D'Andre Swift: on our list 2 games running, 1 of 3 calls hit
❌ Darren Waller: on our list 2 games running, 1 of 2 calls hit
❌ Derrick Henry: on our list 3 games running, 4 of 7 calls hit
❌ Drake Maye: on our list 3 games running, 2 of 4 calls hit
✅ James Cook III: on our list 3 games running, 5 of 6 calls hit
✅ Javonte Williams: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 3 calls hit
➖ Jaylen Warren: on our list 3 games running, 3 of 6 calls hit
✅ Jonathan Taylor: on our list 3 games running, 4 of 6 calls hit
❌ Juwan Johnson: on our list 3 games running, 2 of 5 calls hit
✅ Kenneth Walker III: on our list 2 games running, 4 of 4 calls hit
✅ Kyle Pitts Sr.: on our list 3 games running, 5 of 5 calls hit
❌ Kyren Williams: on our list 3 games running, 2 of 8 calls hit
❌ MarShawn Lloyd: on our list 2 games running, 1 of 3 calls hit
❌ Rashod Bateman: on our list 2 games running, 1 of 2 calls hit
✅ Rome Odunze: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 2 calls hit
✅ Travis Kelce: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 2 calls hit
❌ Tyler Higbee: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 3 calls hit
❌ Wan'Dale Robinson: on our list 3 games running, 2 of 4 calls hit

😬 So close

7 picks lost by a hair:

Dalton Schultz (HOU) UNDER 3.5 catches · Members — needed 3 or fewer, got 4: 1 catch over
Kalif Raymond (CHI) OVER 2.5 catches · Members — needed 3, got 2: 1 catch short
Tim Patrick (NYJ) OVER 1.5 catches · Members — needed 2, got 1: 1 catch short
Drake Maye (NE) UNDER 233.5 passing yards · Members — needed 233 or fewer, got 235: 2 passing yards over
Wan'Dale Robinson (TEN) 25+ receiving yards · Free — needed 25, got 22: 3 receiving yards short
Tyler Higbee (LA) 25+ receiving yards · Free — needed 25, got 22: 3 receiving yards short
George Kittle (SF) UNDER 68.5 receiving yards · All-Access — needed 68 or fewer, got 69: 1 receiving yard over

🏟️ Game picks (All-Access)

❌ ATL +3.5 — final CHI 31, ATL 23
✅ CLE +4.5 — final BAL 10, CLE 13
✅ NO +1.5 — final NO 34, NYG 27
✅ CAR +1.5 — final CAR 25, PHI 14
✅ ARI +13.5 — final ARI 18, LA 16
❌ LAC +8.5 — final LAC 6, KC 22

Every pick, wins and losses, at the price we posted. Full record: rrsalgo.com/nfl/record/