🌙 Thursday Night Results (Backtest) — Week 2
🧪 Backtest. Replayed with today's rules on point-in-time data (last pregame prices); this edition was not posted live. Not replayable for these weeks: the DraftKings line check and injury / market-move notes.
Our free picks went 67% (2 of 3) in the Thursday Night window.
✅ Free picks
- ✅ Jared Goff (DET) 1+ passing TDs (-525) — finished with 4 passing TDs
- ✅ Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) under 100 rushing yards (-170) — finished with 52 rushing yards
- ❌ Dawson Knox (BUF) 15+ receiving yards (+133) — finished with 5 receiving yards
🔒 Members picks, revealed
1 of 2 for the members-only picks. EV plays and TDs: 1 of 1, +0.44 units (judged in units, not hit rate).
- ✅ Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) to score a TD (anytime) (-213) — scored · +0.44u
- ❌ Jared Goff (DET) under 258.5 passing yards (-110) — finished with 327 passing yards
🎲 All-Access picks, revealed
1 of 2 for the All-Access-only picks.
- ❌ Dalton Kincaid (BUF) under 80 receiving yards (-355) — finished with 95 receiving yards · -1.00u
- ✅ BUF -4.5 — final DET 31, BUF 41
Graded the morning after at Kalshi's official settlement or the box score (props at the book's line) and the final score (game picks), at the price we posted. The full weekly recap with streaks and season records posts Tuesday. Full record