The model went 58.8% (94/160) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 58.8% (94/160) | 60.4% (84/139) | 47.6% (10/21) |
| This week | 67.8% (702/1036) | 66.9% (561/838) | 71.2% (141/198) |
| This month | 67.0% (470/702) | 66.4% (377/568) | 69.4% (93/134) |
| This season | 69.7% (6613/9492) | 69.6% (5255/7551) | 70.0% (1358/1941) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 71.8% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.9% · Runs 63.8% · Runs+RBI 61.8% · Total Bases 50.0% · Home Run 32.3% · RBI 59.1%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.0% · Walks 72.1% · Outs/Length 63.0%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Hunter Goodman (Colorado Rockies) to factor into the scoring (run or RBI) — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a fade signal. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Christian Scott (New York Mets) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 72% (18 bats). Dominic Smith led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.