The model went 70.0% (77/110) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 70.0% (77/110) | 70.3% (64/91) | 68.4% (13/19) |
| This week | 69.7% (735/1054) | 69.4% (586/844) | 71.0% (149/210) |
| This month | 69.4% (376/542) | 68.3% (293/429) | 73.5% (83/113) |
| This season | 69.9% (6519/9332) | 69.8% (5171/7412) | 70.2% (1348/1920) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 71.6% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.0% · Runs 64.7% · Runs+RBI 62.3% · Total Bases 50.0% · Home Run 32.3% · RBI 60.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.4% · Walks 71.9% · Outs/Length 63.1%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Justin Wrobleski (Los Angeles Dodgers) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Coleman Crow (Milwaukee Brewers) was top of the board to keep the hits down and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 69% (13 bats). Cody Bellinger led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.