The model went 65.2% (118/181) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 65.2% (118/181) | 63.8% (97/152) | 72.4% (21/29) |
| This week | 70.8% (744/1051) | 70.8% (592/836) | 70.7% (152/215) |
| This month | 69.9% (3152/4510) | 69.1% (2464/3566) | 72.9% (688/944) |
| This season | 69.9% (6143/8790) | 69.9% (4878/6983) | 70.0% (1265/1807) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 72.7% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.0% ยท Runs 64.3% ยท Runs+RBI 62.8% ยท Total Bases 54.9% ยท Home Run 32.1% ยท RBI 60.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.0% ยท Walks 72.0% ยท Outs/Length 62.9%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Andy Pages (Los Angeles Dodgers) to factor into the scoring (run or RBI) โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a fade signal. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Ranger Suarez (Boston Red Sox) was top of the board to keep the hits down and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
โก The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup โ and the group hit at 61% (46 bats). Alex Bregman led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.