The model went 63.3% (95/150) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 63.3% (95/150) | 65.4% (85/130) | 50.0% (10/20) |
| This week | 68.5% (635/927) | 69.1% (518/750) | 66.1% (117/177) |
| This month | 69.7% (2396/3438) | 68.7% (1862/2712) | 73.6% (534/726) |
| This season | 69.8% (5387/7718) | 69.8% (4276/6129) | 69.9% (1111/1589) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 73.9% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.8% · Runs 63.6% · Runs+RBI 63.4% · Total Bases 57.5% · Home Run 31.8% · RBI 52.9%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.1% · Walks 71.4% · Outs/Length 62.7%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Zack Wheeler (Philadelphia Phillies) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Bryan Hudson (Chicago White Sox) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 61% (41 bats). Alec Bohm led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.