The model went 69.0% (98/142) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 69.0% (98/142) | 67.2% (84/125) | 82.4% (14/17) |
| This week | 72.4% (752/1038) | 72.1% (588/816) | 73.9% (164/222) |
| This month | 70.6% (2171/3075) | 69.4% (1686/2428) | 75.0% (485/647) |
| This season | 70.2% (5162/7355) | 70.1% (4100/5845) | 70.3% (1062/1510) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 75.0% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.2% · Runs 64.1% · Runs+RBI 64.0% · Total Bases 57.5% · Home Run 31.8% · RBI 53.3%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.7% · Walks 71.0% · Outs/Length 63.1%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Chris Sale (Atlanta Braves) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Mike Burrows (Houston Astros) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 62% (16 bats). JJ Bleday led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.