The model went 74.6% (132/177) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 74.6% (132/177) | 72.7% (96/132) | 80.0% (36/45) |
| This week | 69.9% (693/991) | 67.7% (524/774) | 77.9% (169/217) |
| This month | 69.7% (1419/2037) | 68.1% (1098/1612) | 75.5% (321/425) |
| This season | 69.8% (4410/6317) | 69.8% (3512/5029) | 69.7% (898/1288) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 72.9% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.9% · Runs 63.7% · Runs+RBI 63.7% · Total Bases 57.1% · Home Run 31.2% · RBI 54.5%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.5% · Walks 69.5% · Outs/Length 62.1%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Christian Walker (Houston Astros) to factor into the scoring (run or RBI) — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a fade signal. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Brady House (Washington Nationals) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 82% (11 bats). Braden Shewmake led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.