The model went 66.3% (112/169) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 66.3% (112/169) | 64.2% (79/123) | 71.7% (33/46) |
| This week | 66.3% (726/1095) | 65.2% (566/868) | 70.5% (160/227) |
| This month | 68.3% (1123/1644) | 66.9% (875/1308) | 73.8% (248/336) |
| This season | 69.4% (4114/5924) | 69.6% (3289/4725) | 68.8% (825/1199) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 73.9% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.8% · Runs 62.4% · Runs+RBI 62.9% · Total Bases 55.9% · Home Run 31.2% · RBI 54.5%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.6% · Walks 68.3% · Outs/Length 61.5%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Kai-Wei Teng (Houston Astros) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The matchup that didn't land
We leaned into a soft-matchup hitter cluster and it came up short — 17% (6 bats). Some days the spot is right and the results aren't. We log it and move on.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.