The model went 68.7% (123/179) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 68.7% (123/179) | 66.7% (96/144) | 77.1% (27/35) |
| This week | 70.5% (743/1054) | 69.3% (577/833) | 75.1% (166/221) |
| This month | 72.3% (397/549) | 70.2% (309/440) | 80.7% (88/109) |
| This season | 70.2% (3388/4829) | 70.6% (2723/3857) | 68.4% (665/972) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 73.1% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.2% · Runs 57.0% · Runs+RBI 63.5% · Total Bases 55.2% · Home Run 21.4% · RBI 50.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.9% · Walks 64.0% · Outs/Length 60.8%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Chase Burns (Cincinnati Reds) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Max Fried (New York Yankees) was top of the board to keep the walks down and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 70% (40 bats). Brandon Marsh led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.