The model went 73.3% (126/172) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 73.3% (126/172) | 71.9% (105/146) | 80.8% (21/26) |
| This week | 69.1% (708/1025) | 68.9% (560/813) | 69.8% (148/212) |
| This month | 73.3% (126/172) | 71.9% (105/146) | 80.8% (21/26) |
| This season | 70.0% (3117/4452) | 70.7% (2519/3563) | 67.3% (598/889) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 72.6% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.4% · Runs 56.3% · Runs+RBI 63.2% · Total Bases 57.7% · Home Run 23.1% · RBI 50.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 71.2% · Walks 64.4% · Outs/Length 60.1%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Ildemaro Vargas (Arizona Diamondbacks) to factor into the scoring (run or RBI) — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a fade signal. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Taylor Ward (Baltimore Orioles) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 67% (36 bats). Aaron Judge led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.