The model went 71.2% (74/104) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 71.2% (74/104) | 70.9% (61/86) | 72.2% (13/18) |
| This week | 68.6% (678/988) | 68.5% (531/775) | 69.0% (147/213) |
| This month | 70.1% (2633/3756) | 71.1% (2083/2929) | 66.5% (550/827) |
| This season | 69.9% (2991/4280) | 70.6% (2414/3417) | 66.9% (577/863) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 71.2% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.4% · Runs 55.2% · Runs+RBI 62.8% · Total Bases 54.2% · Home Run 23.1% · RBI 50.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 70.7% · Walks 64.4% · Outs/Length 59.8%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Bryce Elder (Atlanta Braves) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Peter Lambert (Houston Astros) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 76% (33 bats). Adley Rutschman led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.