The model went 72.7% (109/150) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 72.7% (109/150) | 73.3% (85/116) | 70.6% (24/34) |
| This week | 70.2% (657/936) | 72.6% (531/731) | 61.5% (126/205) |
| This month | 70.4% (1872/2658) | 72.0% (1494/2075) | 64.8% (378/583) |
| This season | 70.1% (2230/3182) | 71.2% (1825/2563) | 65.4% (405/619) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 70.5% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 73.0% ยท Runs 59.2% ยท Runs+RBI 64.1% ยท Total Bases 47.1% ยท Home Run 22.2% ยท RBI 44.4%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 70.3% ยท Walks 60.0% ยท Outs/Length 56.9%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Max Fried (New York Yankees) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Logan Gilbert (Seattle Mariners) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.