The model went 72.8% (91/125) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 72.8% (91/125) | 75.2% (79/105) | 60.0% (12/20) |
| This week | 70.0% (655/936) | 71.7% (530/739) | 63.5% (125/197) |
| This month | 70.6% (1660/2351) | 72.1% (1332/1848) | 65.2% (328/503) |
| This season | 70.2% (2018/2875) | 71.2% (1663/2336) | 65.9% (355/539) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 70.7% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 73.0% · Runs 59.2% · Runs+RBI 64.2% · Total Bases 46.7% · Home Run 28.6% · RBI 44.4%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 71.7% · Walks 57.4% · Outs/Length 55.7%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Seth Lugo (Kansas City Royals) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Justin Wrobleski (Los Angeles Dodgers) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.