The model went 71.8% (112/156) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 71.8% (112/156) | 73.8% (90/122) | 64.7% (22/34) |
| This week | 70.7% (644/911) | 72.7% (517/711) | 63.5% (127/200) |
| This month | 70.5% (1569/2226) | 71.9% (1253/1743) | 65.4% (316/483) |
| This season | 70.1% (1927/2750) | 71.0% (1584/2231) | 66.1% (343/519) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 74.3% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.6% ยท Runs 59.0% ยท Runs+RBI 63.9% ยท Total Bases 46.2% ยท Home Run 33.3% ยท RBI 44.4%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.2% ยท Walks 58.5% ยท Outs/Length 54.9%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Mitch Keller (Pittsburgh Pirates) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Shea Langeliers (Athletics) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.