The model went 71.8% (79/110) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 71.8% (79/110) | 72.2% (70/97) | 69.2% (9/13) |
| This week | 71.6% (594/830) | 72.7% (475/653) | 67.2% (119/177) |
| This month | 70.6% (1343/1903) | 71.9% (1076/1496) | 65.6% (267/407) |
| This season | 70.1% (1701/2427) | 70.9% (1407/1984) | 66.4% (294/443) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 74.2% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.4% ยท Runs 60.6% ยท Runs+RBI 64.8% ยท Total Bases 40.0% ยท Home Run 20.0% ยท RBI 50.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.5% ยท Walks 59.1% ยท Outs/Length 54.6%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Michael Wacha (Kansas City Royals) was top of the board to keep the walks down and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.