The model went 69.0% (49/71) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 69.0% (49/71) | 78.2% (43/55) | 37.5% (6/16) |
| This week | 71.0% (609/858) | 72.4% (477/659) | 66.3% (132/199) |
| This month | 70.5% (1264/1793) | 71.9% (1006/1399) | 65.5% (258/394) |
| This season | 70.0% (1622/2317) | 70.9% (1337/1887) | 66.3% (285/430) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 75.9% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.3% ยท Runs 59.4% ยท Runs+RBI 64.9% ยท Total Bases 40.0% ยท Home Run 20.0% ยท RBI 33.3%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.3% ยท Walks 59.5% ยท Outs/Length 54.4%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Aaron Judge (New York Yankees) to factor into the scoring (run or RBI) โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Spencer Steer (Cincinnati Reds) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.