The model went 75.4% (98/130) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 75.4% (98/130) | 77.6% (83/107) | 65.2% (15/23) |
| This week | 67.7% (490/724) | 69.5% (412/593) | 59.5% (78/131) |
| This month | 70.0% (339/484) | 73.4% (273/372) | 58.9% (66/112) |
| This season | 69.1% (697/1008) | 70.2% (604/860) | 62.8% (93/148) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 77.8% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.8% ยท Runs 63.6% ยท Runs+RBI 64.9% ยท Total Bases 33.3% ยท Home Run 0.0% ยท RBI 0.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 69.8% ยท Walks 42.9% ยท Outs/Length 52.6%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Max Fried (New York Yankees) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Eric Lauer (Toronto Blue Jays) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.