The model went 55.8% (53/95) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 55.8% (53/95) | 58.6% (41/70) | 48.0% (12/25) |
| This week | 67.2% (505/751) | 68.3% (437/640) | 61.3% (68/111) |
| This month | 65.0% (186/286) | 68.3% (142/208) | 56.4% (44/78) |
| This season | 67.2% (544/810) | 68.0% (473/696) | 62.3% (71/114) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 76.5% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 69.9% ยท Runs 55.6% ยท Runs+RBI 61.8% ยท Total Bases 20.0% ยท Home Run 0.0% ยท RBI 0.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 69.6% ยท Walks 54.5% ยท Outs/Length 50.0%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Framber Valdez (Detroit Tigers) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Mitch Keller (Pittsburgh Pirates) was top of the board to keep the walks down and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.