The model went 70.2% (113/161) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 70.2% (113/161) | 73.0% (84/115) | 63.0% (29/46) |
| This week | 68.8% (471/685) | 68.8% (415/603) | 68.3% (56/82) |
| This month | 70.2% (113/161) | 73.0% (84/115) | 63.0% (29/46) |
| This season | 68.8% (471/685) | 68.8% (415/603) | 68.3% (56/82) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 76.5% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.8% ยท Runs 50.0% ยท Runs+RBI 63.8% ยท Total Bases 25.0% ยท Home Run 0.0% ยท RBI 0.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 71.4% ยท Walks 66.7% ยท Outs/Length 60.0%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Trevor Rogers (Baltimore Orioles) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Tarik Skubal (Detroit Tigers) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.