The model went 72.9% (78/107) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
π THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 72.9% (78/107) | 74.7% (62/83) | 66.7% (16/24) |
| This week | 65.4% (697/1066) | 64.8% (566/873) | 67.9% (131/193) |
| This month | 65.6% (759/1157) | 64.7% (611/944) | 69.5% (148/213) |
| This season | 69.4% (6902/9947) | 69.2% (5489/7927) | 70.0% (1413/2020) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 70.4% Β· Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.7% Β· Runs 61.6% Β· Runs+RBI 61.3% Β· Total Bases 47.5% Β· Home Run 31.2% Β· RBI 51.9%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.0% Β· Walks 71.7% Β· Outs/Length 63.1%
ποΈ THE WRAP β what we saw that the line didn't
π― Against the grain
Cristopher SΓ‘nchez (Philadelphia Phillies) to work deep into the game β and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
π§ The honest miss
Luke Raley (Seattle Mariners) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these β the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
β‘ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup β and the group hit at 85% (20 bats). Andrew Vaughn led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock β watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.