Round Robin Sports Algo

The model went 60.8% (101/166) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.

๐Ÿ“Š THE LEDGER

Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.

Window Full Card Batters Pitchers
Yesterday 60.8% (101/166) 58.9% (83/141) 72.0% (18/25)
This week 65.7% (689/1049) 64.7% (557/861) 70.2% (132/188)
This month 65.8% (571/868) 64.9% (460/709) 69.8% (111/159)
This season 69.5% (6714/9658) 69.4% (5338/7692) 70.0% (1376/1966)

Batter markets (season): Hits 72.4% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.7% ยท Runs 63.0% ยท Runs+RBI 61.5% ยท Total Bases 49.1% ยท Home Run 32.3% ยท RBI 56.5%

Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.0% ยท Walks 72.1% ยท Outs/Length 63.2%

๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ THE WRAP โ€” what we saw that the line didn't

๐ŸŽฏ Against the grain

Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers) to work deep into the game โ€” and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.

๐ŸงŠ The honest miss

Jack Leiter (Texas Rangers) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these โ€” the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.

โšก The stack that paid

We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup โ€” and the group hit at 55% (31 bats). A.J. Ewing led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.


Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ€” watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.