The model went 60.8% (101/166) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 60.8% (101/166) | 58.9% (83/141) | 72.0% (18/25) |
| This week | 65.7% (689/1049) | 64.7% (557/861) | 70.2% (132/188) |
| This month | 65.8% (571/868) | 64.9% (460/709) | 69.8% (111/159) |
| This season | 69.5% (6714/9658) | 69.4% (5338/7692) | 70.0% (1376/1966) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 72.4% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.7% ยท Runs 63.0% ยท Runs+RBI 61.5% ยท Total Bases 49.1% ยท Home Run 32.3% ยท RBI 56.5%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.0% ยท Walks 72.1% ยท Outs/Length 63.2%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Jack Leiter (Texas Rangers) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
โก The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup โ and the group hit at 55% (31 bats). A.J. Ewing led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.