The model went 78.0% (131/168) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 78.0% (131/168) | 80.9% (106/131) | 67.6% (25/37) |
| This week | 67.0% (571/852) | 66.8% (461/690) | 67.9% (110/162) |
| This month | 69.9% (2644/3785) | 68.9% (2063/2993) | 73.4% (581/792) |
| This season | 69.9% (5635/8065) | 69.8% (4477/6410) | 70.0% (1158/1655) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 74.8% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.9% ยท Runs 63.6% ยท Runs+RBI 63.0% ยท Total Bases 58.1% ยท Home Run 36.0% ยท RBI 52.9%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.1% ยท Walks 70.5% ยท Outs/Length 63.1%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Andy Pages (Los Angeles Dodgers) to factor into the scoring (run or RBI) โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a fade signal. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Kyle Harrison (Milwaukee Brewers) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
โก The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup โ and the group hit at 90% (39 bats). Aaron Judge led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.