The model went 76.7% (132/172) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
π THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 76.7% (132/172) | 78.2% (93/119) | 73.6% (39/53) |
| This week | 72.4% (750/1036) | 70.5% (548/777) | 78.0% (202/259) |
| This month | 70.1% (1761/2511) | 68.5% (1344/1962) | 76.0% (417/549) |
| This season | 70.0% (4752/6791) | 69.9% (3758/5379) | 70.4% (994/1412) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 73.3% Β· Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.0% Β· Runs 63.6% Β· Runs+RBI 63.6% Β· Total Bases 58.3% Β· Home Run 33.3% Β· RBI 54.5%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.8% Β· Walks 70.6% Β· Outs/Length 63.4%
ποΈ THE WRAP β what we saw that the line didn't
π― Against the grain
Trevor McDonald (San Francisco Giants) to work deep into the game β and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
π§ The honest miss
Huascar BrazobΓ‘n (New York Mets) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these β the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
β‘ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup β and the group hit at 75% (8 bats). CJ Abrams led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock β watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.