The model went 69.4% (127/183) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 69.4% (127/183) | 67.8% (97/143) | 75.0% (30/40) |
| This week | 69.8% (719/1030) | 67.2% (532/792) | 78.6% (187/238) |
| This month | 69.6% (1629/2339) | 67.9% (1251/1843) | 76.2% (378/496) |
| This season | 69.8% (4620/6619) | 69.7% (3665/5260) | 70.3% (955/1359) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 72.7% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.8% ยท Runs 63.6% ยท Runs+RBI 63.4% ยท Total Bases 58.3% ยท Home Run 29.4% ยท RBI 54.5%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 74.0% ยท Walks 69.9% ยท Outs/Length 62.9%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Michael Wacha (Kansas City Royals) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Janson Junk (Miami Marlins) was top of the board to keep the hits down and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
โก The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup โ and the group hit at 66% (35 bats). Braden Shewmake led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.