The model went 69.7% (83/119) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 69.7% (83/119) | 63.6% (56/88) | 87.1% (27/31) |
| This week | 68.5% (684/998) | 65.5% (504/769) | 78.6% (180/229) |
| This month | 69.7% (1502/2156) | 67.9% (1154/1700) | 76.3% (348/456) |
| This season | 69.8% (4493/6436) | 69.7% (3568/5117) | 70.1% (925/1319) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 72.2% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.8% · Runs 63.7% · Runs+RBI 63.9% · Total Bases 57.1% · Home Run 31.2% · RBI 54.5%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.9% · Walks 70.2% · Outs/Length 62.5%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Nolan McLean (New York Mets) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Julio Rodríguez (Seattle Mariners) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The matchup that didn't land
We leaned into a soft-matchup hitter cluster and it came up short — 38% (16 bats). Some days the spot is right and the results aren't. We log it and move on.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.