The model went 68.8% (110/160) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.

📊 THE LEDGER

Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.

Window	Full Card	Batters	Pitchers
Yesterday	68.8% (110/160)	64.8% (81/125)	82.9% (29/35)
This week	69.1% (687/994)	68.8% (528/768)	70.4% (159/226)
This month	70.1% (2559/3652)	71.1% (2022/2843)	66.4% (537/809)
This season	69.9% (2917/4176)	70.6% (2353/3331)	66.7% (564/845)

Batter markets (season): Hits 71.9% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.4% · Runs 55.2% · Runs+RBI 63.2% · Total Bases 54.5% · Home Run 23.1% · RBI 50.0%

Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 70.8% · Walks 65.1% · Outs/Length 58.8%

🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't

🎯 Against the grain

Taj Bradley (Minnesota Twins) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.

🧊 The honest miss

Matt Waldron (San Diego Padres) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.

⚡ The matchup that didn't land

We leaned into a soft-matchup hitter cluster and it came up short — 51% (41 bats). Some days the spot is right and the results aren't. We log it and move on.

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Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.