The model went 63.7% (86/135) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
⭐ THE CALLED CARD — our published plays only
The route card grades thousands of reads a night. This is the record on the handful we actually called out. Held to a higher standard, on purpose.
| Window | Plays (parlay = all legs) | Individual legs |
|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0-1 (0.0%) | 1-1 (50.0%) |
| This week | 0-1 (0.0%) | 1-1 (50.0%) |
| This month | 0-1 (0.0%) | 1-1 (50.0%) |
| This season | 0-1 (0.0%) | 1-1 (50.0%) |
Yesterday, play by play: - ❌ Parlay — Daylen Lile H+R+RBI (✗); Sal Stewart H+R+RBI (✓)
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 63.7% (86/135) | 66.9% (79/118) | 41.2% (7/17) |
| This week | 69.6% (502/721) | 71.0% (412/580) | 63.8% (90/141) |
| This month | 69.7% (615/882) | 71.4% (496/695) | 63.6% (119/187) |
| This season | 69.2% (973/1406) | 69.9% (827/1183) | 65.5% (146/223) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 70.8% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.8% · Runs 54.2% · Runs+RBI 64.7% · Total Bases 40.0% · Home Run 0.0% · RBI 0.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 70.9% · Walks 50.0% · Outs/Length 56.6%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Aaron Judge (New York Yankees) to factor into the scoring (run or RBI) — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Brady Singer (Cincinnati Reds) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.